Posted by Per Corell on September 27, 2002 at 09:19:15:
In Reply to: Re: And it WILL posted by Richard Haut on September 26, 2002 at 22:12:57:
""Technology over the past 50 yrs has evolved faster then at any point in human history." Has it ? I think not. Known technologies may have become more widely available, but I think that you will find that the actual innovation largely happened in the first half of the last century.""
A lot of known technology have been "translated" into a computer language and compiled into computer programs, but most of this ,is acturly the old known methods.
Acturly "the computer" are the only new technology with much of this "new technology" ; how much computing power do you think is used with these programs ? ----- Well knowing computers and programming you know that the demands are quite low and that what take time, is not what you would think and the way things are done within fancy CAD programs ,are all the same for most programs and the methods were "inventet" decades ago.
Even what we think to be top technology like 3D routers and rapid prototyping been here for decades and even everybody thought these two high tech directions to expand each direction ,you still get increadible expensive foam cars with one and fragile small individual models with the other ; using the new technology in the prototype link, only to support the old technologies , like making polyester molds even more expensive than before.
Dead-ends in terms of what most expected, just a bit more sofisticated, but no real impack on production costs or effectivity.
Please let me show how to build a boat, in the most exiting fasion, a third the coas, four times as stromg as the useal petro chemical vessel phenomeners that in millons crowd the harbours ; it will be a smooth sailboat and it will be unable to sink and no water will be able to enter the decks, beside with an outboard it will reach 36 knots if you get surprised by bad winds and just want to head back home.
Now a Robot in a Car assembly row, is _not_ instructed to tigh a knot or weld a door from a digital drawing , it work as "instructed" but don't work the intire Car as a water or Laser cutter solely would cut the framework _and_ the paneling for this lovely vessel, ---- How shuld this sole Robot then ever learn to think, how shuld you make a program develob a complete spaceship with hundreds of different more or less analog Robots putting in "it's" exact number of rivets.
-------- Maby this is difficult to grasp, but what I try to explain --- and shuldn't be difficult to se as when you check the stock markeds for Dot.Com firms ,---- is that there are "different" sorts of new technology and even you think about the robots in an assembly line, then this is just _one_ way of new technology with it's own build-in limitations compared with other new technologies with different limitations ; you better be glad that it's not a huge 3D router and a small rapid prototyping mashine ,that will produce your next Car, as then you would get it in foam and with fragile gear shifts and no motor ;))
But what's bad about all this new technology is, that there are much less real new technology than we think, and some new technologies overshadow others maby more promising, while most people don't know the difference, like saying "do it have 4 wheels ? , well then it's a car".
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